Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.006863 0.007680 0.008572 0.009619 0.010817 0.012150 0.013750
2025-03-16 0.005333 0.006390 0.007639 0.009232 0.011225 0.013655 0.016869
2025-03-23 0.004606 0.005773 0.007226 0.009186 0.011793 0.015183 0.019997
2025-03-30 0.004269 0.005554 0.007226 0.009593 0.012912 0.017481 0.024389
2025-04-06 0.003768 0.005046 0.006767 0.009299 0.013001 0.018337 0.026836
2025-04-13 0.003377 0.004638 0.006387 0.009047 0.013086 0.019154 0.029288
2025-04-20 0.003121 0.004387 0.006194 0.009030 0.013493 0.020470 0.032674
2025-04-27 0.002986 0.004295 0.006216 0.009325 0.014398 0.022658 0.037805
2025-05-04 0.002785 0.004085 0.006038 0.009284 0.014747 0.023962 0.041587
2025-05-11 0.002631 0.003931 0.005929 0.009337 0.015248 0.025568 0.046149
2025-05-18 0.002461 0.003737 0.005738 0.009230 0.015454 0.026667 0.049897
2025-05-25 0.002357 0.003640 0.005693 0.009364 0.016093 0.028624 0.055660
2025-06-01 0.002215 0.003476 0.005534 0.009298 0.016392 0.030037 0.060685
2025-06-08 0.002030 0.003228 0.005217 0.008926 0.016080 0.030230 0.063138
2025-06-15 0.001919 0.003097 0.005088 0.008882 0.016391 0.031713 0.068778
2025-06-22 0.001888 0.003099 0.005189 0.009273 0.017610 0.035259 0.080033
2025-06-29 0.001757 0.002918 0.004950 0.008990 0.017412 0.035707 0.083694
2025-07-06 0.001644 0.002760 0.004742 0.008748 0.017274 0.036267 0.087758
2025-07-13 0.001571 0.002670 0.004651 0.008731 0.017616 0.037978 0.095288
2025-07-20 0.001542 0.002658 0.004707 0.009016 0.018655 0.041497 0.108722
2025-07-27 0.001475 0.002571 0.004611 0.008976 0.018953 0.043241 0.117378
2025-08-03 0.001423 0.002509 0.004560 0.009027 0.019467 0.045609 0.128542
2025-08-10 0.001358 0.002418 0.004444 0.008924 0.019601 0.047002 0.136928